• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2000

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Dec 11 04:00:37 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 110400
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 110400=20
    MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-110530-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2000
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1000 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

    Areas affected...portions of far eastern Texas into far southern Arkansas...northern Louisiana and far western Mississippi

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 555...

    Valid 110400Z - 110530Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 555 continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat persists across southern portions of
    Tornado Watch 555. An additional Tornado Watch issuance is likely
    farther east into Louisiana, far southern Arkansas and far western
    Mississippi.

    DISCUSSION...A relatively robust line of storms has recently become
    established across far northeastern Texas and is progressing
    eastward into a moist, buoyant airmass. At the moment, these storms
    just south of Tornado Watch 555 are in a kinematic environment
    characterized by strong speed shear, but with modest veering in the
    low-levels per latest SHV VWP. However, the storms will progress
    farther east into northern LA/southern AR and western MS, in closer
    proximity to the LLJ axis. As such, the threat for all severe
    hazards (including isolated tornadoes) is expected to increase with
    these storms with eastward extent. Since Tornado Watch 555 expires
    in an hour, a new downstream Tornado Watch issuance will be needed.

    ..Squitieri/Grams.. 12/11/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!uuPC8Le5BVyx5recsPL9Yu85kN2Dgz41Q2KoAnged9eYGNzVdGoUYt8FsSOOMnTCDhv_PUeT$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...FWD...

    LAT...LON 32319611 32959528 33609364 33829239 33999100 33879035
    33708995 33428988 32878985 32299009 31899052 31809089
    31659197 31629281 31659390 31889529 32179608 32319611=20



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